Vedanta Ltd, led by Anil Agarwal, is gearing up to reveal its fourth quarter (Q4) financial results for FY25 tomorrow. The company’s board of directors will convene on April 30, 2025, to review and finalize the financial performance for the fourth quarter and the entire fiscal year. In a regulatory update dated April 25, Vedanta confirmed the meeting to discuss its audited results, underscoring the significance of this announcement.
Anticipated Financial Performance for Q4 FY25
Analysts are predicting a remarkable rise in Vedanta’s net profit for the fourth quarter, with estimates suggesting a 140% year-on-year (YoY) increase, reaching approximately ₹3,287 crore. This marks a significant boost from ₹1,367 crore recorded during the same period last year. However, when compared to the previous quarter, there’s an expected decline of about 7.3% from ₹3,547 crore.
- Estimated Q4 FY25 Net Profit: ₹3,287 crore
- YoY Growth: 140%
- Sequential Decline: 7.3% from Q3 FY25
Revenue and Operational Insights
Revenue for the fourth quarter is anticipated to rise by 10.3% YoY, reaching around ₹39,173 crore. Despite this growth, a quarter-on-quarter (QoQ) comparison suggests that revenue may remain relatively unchanged. Operationally, EBITDA is projected to drop by 3% QoQ, landing at approximately ₹10,771 crore, attributed to rising costs in the aluminium sector and fluctuating commodity prices.
Segment Performance Breakdown
- Aluminium Division: Expected to see a 5% QoQ decline in EBITDA, although it may experience a 44% YoY increase driven by higher input costs.
- Oil and Gas Sector: This segment is likely to face an EBITDA drop of 3.2% QoQ, primarily due to reduced volumes.
- Zinc India Division: Expected to remain stable QoQ while achieving a 25% YoY growth, benefiting from higher volumes despite lower zinc prices.
Current Market Position and Share Price Trends
Recently, Vedanta’s share price has experienced a downturn, declining by 10% in the last month and more than 6% year-to-date (YTD). Yet, the stock has shown impressive long-term growth, with a 50% increase over the past two years and an astonishing 426% rise over five years. As of Tuesday, Vedanta’s shares closed at ₹416.35, reflecting a slight increase of 0.05%, as investors await the forthcoming Q4 results.
Conclusion
As Vedanta prepares to disclose its fourth quarter results, stakeholders and analysts alike are keenly watching the performance across its key segments. While significant YoY growth in profit is on the horizon, sequential declines and sector-specific challenges may influence investor sentiment. The upcoming announcement will undoubtedly provide more clarity on the company’s financial health and strategic direction moving forward.
