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Tata Group's Auto Major to Raise ₹2,000 Crore Through NCD Issue: Is Now the Time to Buy or Sell as Stock Dips 12% YTD?

Tata Group’s Auto Major to Raise ₹2,000 Crore Through NCD Issue: Is Now the Time to Buy or Sell as Stock Dips 12% YTD?

Tata Motors Ltd is set to convene its board on March 19 to deliberate on a significant fundraising initiative, aiming to raise up to ₹2,000 crore. This prominent player in the domestic and commercial vehicle sector plans to achieve this through the issuance of rated, listed, unsecured, redeemable, Non-Convertible Debentures (NCDs) via a private placement. This move follows prior board approvals for fundraising strategies as early as last year, signaling a robust approach to meet its financial objectives.

Fund Utilization and Expectations

The capital raised is earmarked for a variety of corporate purposes, including:

  • Research and Development: Innovating new technologies and improving existing models.
  • Capacity Expansion: Increasing production capabilities to meet rising demand.
  • Working Capital Requirements: Ensuring operational stability.

The upcoming board meeting is anticipated to unveil specific details regarding the NCD issuance, such as the coupon rate and maturity terms.

Stock Performance and Market Insights

Tata Motors’ stock has seen a decline of 48% from its peak, prompting the company to engage with analysts to assess market conditions. During a recent analysts meeting, Tata Motors hinted at early signs of demand recovery for its luxury division, Jaguar Land Rover (JLR), particularly in the EU and UK markets, while the US market remains robust.

Future Projections and Brokerage Insights

According to JM Financials, Tata Motors is optimistic about meeting its FY25 target of achieving an EBIT margin of 8.5% or higher. Although short-term growth prospects for both commercial vehicles (CV) and passenger vehicles (PV) may appear sluggish, the brokerage anticipates an improvement in demand driven by government spending and new product launches in FY26.

  • Target Price: JM Financials maintains a target price of ₹860, suggesting a potential upside of 32.7%. They emphasize the importance of monitoring demand recovery closely.
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However, Elara Securities has revised its target price down to ₹872, while still endorsing a ‘buy’ rating. They predict a strong EBIT margin of approximately 10% for JLR in Q4FY25 but await further guidance on margins for FY26. Their analysis suggests that the launch of the Sierra ICE during the festive season could help stabilize market share for Tata Motors.

Conclusion

Tata Motors is navigating a complex landscape with strategic fundraising to bolster its future prospects. While the company faces challenges in the short term, analysts remain cautiously optimistic about its long-term trajectory. With key developments on the horizon, stakeholders are advised to keep an eye on upcoming announcements and market shifts.

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