The performance of DLF Ltd. is currently attracting significant attention in the stock market. Over the past six months, the company’s shares have plummeted by 25%, and in 2025, they’ve seen a decline exceeding 15%. While the latest Q3 earnings report provided a glimmer of hope, investors are left wondering whether now is the right time to invest in DLF, especially with anticipated changes in real estate pricing.

Insights from Major Brokerages on DLF Stock

As investors weigh their options, several leading brokerages have shared their analyses on DLF’s current market position.

HSBC’s Optimistic Outlook: Target Price of Rs 920

HSBC has issued a Buy recommendation for DLF, setting a target price of Rs 920 per share, suggesting a potential upside of about 32% from its current valuation. The firm highlights DLF’s "valuable land bank" in the National Capital Region (NCR) and its "premium brand image." They believe DLF’s robust balance sheet will facilitate value creation for stakeholders.

Key points from HSBC’s analysis include:

• Anticipated sales growth and healthy profit margins.
• NCR’s market remains strong, characterized by low inventory levels and significant growth potential.
• Expected risks include a downturn in the NCR market and rising construction costs.

Motilal Oswal’s Reiteration: Target Price of Rs 954

Motilal Oswal has also reaffirmed a Buy rating for DLF, with a higher target price of Rs 954 per share, implying a 35% upside. The brokerage emphasizes DLF’s commitment to sustainable growth, backed by a strategic pipeline of launches and development projects.

Motilal Oswal’s insights include:

• DLF’s dominance in the luxury residential sector, particularly in Gurugram.
• The expectation of a 20% CAGR in pre-sales from FY24 to FY27.
• Strong cash flow and a large land bank supporting long-term growth.

However, they note that their forecasts do not account for potential incremental value from updated development permissions.

Nuvama’s Adjusted View: Price Target Reduced to Rs 927

While Nuvama maintains a Buy rating on DLF, they have revised their target price down to Rs 927, from Rs 1,040. Despite this adjustment, they project a 30% upside in the next year due to DLF’s strong financial position.

Nuvama’s reasoning includes:

• Anticipation of moderated housing sales and price increases as affordability becomes a growing concern.
• DLF’s ability to sustain its leadership in margins and cash flow generation.

Nomura’s Cautious Stance: Neutral Rating with Rs 700 Target

Nomura has adopted a more cautious approach, assigning a neutral rating with a target price of Rs 700 per share. They express concerns over DLF’s conservative pre-sales guidance for FY26, which may disappoint investors.

Highlights from Nomura include:

• Management’s commitment to maintaining a FY26 pre-sales target of around Rs 20,000 crore.
• Acknowledgment of DLF’s strong cash flow and annuity income, yet belief that current valuations may already reflect long-term growth potential.

Conclusion

Investors are grappling with whether to seize the opportunity to invest in DLF amid fluctuating market conditions. With varying recommendations from top brokerages, it’s essential to consider both the optimistic projections and the potential risks before making investment decisions. As the real estate market continues to evolve, DLF’s strategic positioning and financial stability will be key factors to monitor.