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Infosys, TCS, Wipro Showdown: Which IT Stock is Thriving Post-Trump Tariffs After Q4 2025 Results?

Infosys, TCS, Wipro Showdown: Which IT Stock is Thriving Post-Trump Tariffs After Q4 2025 Results?

India’s leading IT firms, Infosys, Tata Consultancy Services (TCS), and Wipro, faced disappointing results for the quarter ending March 2025. These outcomes were influenced by a combination of macroeconomic challenges and geopolitical tensions. The ongoing decline in client spending, particularly in significant markets such as the United States and Europe, added to the struggles of these tech giants. Furthermore, the recent tariffs imposed by the U.S. have heightened trade anxieties and fueled concerns about a possible recession, which particularly impacts Indian IT revenues.

Disappointing Financial Results for IT Giants

As the quarter unfolded, the financial reports from these three companies revealed a stark reality. Infosys, the last to release its results, reported a year-on-year (YoY) decline of 11.75% in consolidated net profit, totaling ₹7,033 crore. However, its operational revenue did see an increase of 8% YoY, reaching ₹40,925 crore. Looking ahead, Infosys anticipates a modest revenue growth forecast of flat to 3% for FY26, marking its lowest guidance since April 2009. In a bid to return value to shareholders, the company declared a dividend of ₹22 per share.

In contrast, TCS, the largest IT firm in India, recorded a 1.7% drop in profit after tax (PAT), amounting to ₹12,224 crore. Despite this setback, it achieved a 5% revenue increase, totaling ₹64,479 crore—its slowest growth in four years. Management indicated that wage hikes may be postponed due to uncertainties stemming from tariffs and hesitance in project initiations.

Wipro showed a different trajectory, with a significant 26% rise in Q4 profit, reaching ₹3,567 crore. Yet, its revenue remained stagnant at ₹22,504.20 crore. Investor optimism was dampened by Wipro’s cautious Q1 guidance, predicting a (-)1.5% to (-)3.5% decline in its IT services segment revenue.

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Market Reactions and Future Outlook

Despite the less-than-stellar financial results, shares of these IT giants saw a rebound on April 21. Infosys shares increased nearly 2%, reaching ₹1,450.45 on the BSE, following its Q4 announcement. Similarly, Wipro shares ended slightly higher at ₹238.45, recovering from prior losses. TCS shares also rose by 0.69%, finishing at ₹3,321.60.

Vinod Nair, Head of Research at Geojit Investments, remarked, "A contrarian bet on IT driven by attractive valuations and expectations of improved spending in the latter half of FY26 is keeping the market active."

Analyst Insights: TCS, Infosys, or Wipro?

As analysts dissect the results, opinions vary on which stock to consider moving forward. Seema Srivastava, Senior Research Analyst at SMC Global Securities, noted that while results were mixed, TCS performed notably well due to substantial growth in the India and Asia-Pacific regions. The company secured $12.2 billion in new deals during the quarter, largely fueled by demand for AI and cloud services, which now comprise over a third of its client engagements.

Infosys, with its revenue of ₹40,925 crore, demonstrated a 7.9% YoY growth, supported by strong AI and cloud initiatives. The company reported an operating margin of 21% and provided a revenue growth outlook of 0–3% for FY26. However, Wipro’s challenges were evident, despite achieving a 12-quarter high operating margin of 17.5%; it faces headwinds from reduced client spending and a weak revenue outlook for Q1 FY26.

Srivastava concluded that in the long run, TCS stands out for its resilience, consistent deal flow, and robust AI capabilities, making it an attractive option for stable investments. On the other hand, Infosys is positioned for growth through its innovative approaches, while Wipro is in a transitional phase, showing operational improvements but still grappling with growth obstacles.

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For investors looking for solid long-term performance, TCS appears to offer the best balance of stability, while Infosys and Wipro cater to those with a focus on growth or more contrarian investment strategies.

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