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India's Forex Reserves Surge for Third Consecutive Week, Reaching a Four-Month High of $658.8 Billion!

India’s Forex Reserves Surge for Third Consecutive Week, Reaching a Four-Month High of $658.8 Billion!

India’s foreign exchange reserves have seen a significant surge, rising by $4.529 billion to reach an impressive $658.8 billion as of March 21, according to the Reserve Bank of India (RBI). This marks the third consecutive week of growth in the reserves, which had previously been on a downward trajectory. The increase comes on the heels of recent forex market interventions aimed at stabilizing the Indian rupee.

Forex Reserves Overview

In the week leading up to March 21, the overall reserves experienced a notable uptick from the previous week, where they had gained $305 million, totaling $654.271 billion. This upward trend is indicative of the RBI’s proactive measures to manage exchange rate fluctuations.

  • All-time High: The forex reserves reached a historic peak of $704.885 billion in September 2024.
  • Components of Reserves: The reserves primarily consist of foreign currency assets, gold reserves, and special drawing rights (SDRs).

Breakdown of the Reserves

The RBI’s data reveals critical insights into the composition of these reserves:

  • Foreign Currency Assets: These assets increased by $1.669 billion, reaching $558.856 billion. This category includes the impacts of currency fluctuations from non-US currencies such as the euro and yen.

  • Gold Holdings: India’s gold reserves saw a rise, climbing by $2.883 billion to a total of $77.275 billion.

  • Special Drawing Rights: The SDRs experienced a slight decline, decreasing by $22 million to $18.24 billion.

  • IMF Reserve Position: India’s position with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) also dropped by $2 million, settling at $4.429 billion.

Rupee Performance

During the same week, the Indian rupee showed remarkable performance, appreciating by 1.2% week-over-week, achieving its best weekly results in over two years. This growth was attributed to:

  • Foreign Bank Inflows: Increased capital inflows from foreign banks.
  • Speculative Position Adjustments: Traders unwinding long-dollar positions contributed to the rupee’s strength.
  • Equity Market Activity: Rebalancing related to the FTSE’s All-World Index also played a role.
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As of Friday, the rupee closed at 85.47 to the dollar, marking a 0.3% daily gain and a 2.3% increase for March.

Conclusion

India’s forex reserves have rebounded impressively, reflecting the RBI’s successful interventions and the overall strengthening of the rupee. With a steady rise in foreign currency assets and gold reserves, these figures suggest a resilient economic outlook amid global fluctuations. Investors and traders will be keen to monitor future developments as the situation evolves.

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