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Gold Prices in Turmoil: Experts Analyze Potential Declines Amid Global Trade War Tensions

Gold Prices in Turmoil: Experts Analyze Potential Declines Amid Global Trade War Tensions

Gold Prices Surge Amid Market Instability

In response to a significant global stock market decline, gold prices on the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) saw a notable uptick on Monday. The precious metal increased by ₹301, or 0.34%, reaching ₹88,376 per 10 grams. Meanwhile, silver also experienced a robust rise, climbing ₹1,487, or 1.71%, to ₹88,698 per kilogram. This surge comes after a substantial drop exceeding 3% on Friday, as investors liquidated their bullion holdings to mitigate losses from the broader market turmoil sparked by escalating trade tensions.

Current Market Trends

With the ongoing volatility in global financial markets, analysts are urging investors to maintain a level head. According to Rahul Kalantri, Vice President of Commodities at Mehta Equities Ltd, "In times of uncertainty, it’s crucial for traders to avoid rash decisions and focus on clear indicators. Prioritizing risk management and capital preservation is essential."

  • Gold on MCX: Increased by ₹301 to ₹88,376 per 10 grams
  • Silver on MCX: Increased by ₹1,487 to ₹88,698 per kilogram
  • Friday’s Drop: Both gold and silver fell over 3%

International Market Insights

Globally, gold futures dipped by 0.55%, trading at $3,021.51 per ounce in New York. The international gold market has recently seen its lowest levels in over three weeks, primarily due to a widespread sell-off linked to U.S. trade policies that have raised concerns about a slowdown in global growth.

Future Price Predictions

Market experts indicate that while gold often faces initial selling pressure during heightened risk, it typically rebounds quickly. Renisha Chainani, Head of Research at Augmont, offers insights into future price movements. She notes, "Currently, gold prices may have peaked around $3,200 (approximately ₹91,400). If prices stay below $3,000 (around ₹88,000), a sell-off towards $2,900 (₹85,000) could happen. However, if stability is achieved, we foresee prices stabilizing between $3,000 and $3,100 (₹88,000 to ₹90,000) this week."

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Trading Strategies in Volatile Markets

For those navigating the current market fluctuations, Kalantri advises caution. He suggests that investors refrain from making new investments and encourages short-term investors to consider gradual profit-taking. “We do not recommend new investments at this level. Those who entered the market 1-2 years ago should think about securing their profits. Aiming for an additional 7-10% return might jeopardize existing significant gains. Long-term investors could find opportunities during market dips, especially if global risks remain high, which would support gold prices,” he adds.

  • Support Levels for Short-term Investors: $2,965 and $2,840
  • Resistance Level: $3,150

As the market continues to evolve, staying informed and adopting a strategic approach will be crucial for investors looking to navigate these uncertain times effectively.

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