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Explosive Growth: Should You Invest in This Fertilizer Stock After a 644% Surge in Q4 Profits?

Explosive Growth: Should You Invest in This Fertilizer Stock After a 644% Surge in Q4 Profits?

Investors are buzzing with excitement as Paradeep Phosphates continues to show remarkable momentum, with its share price soaring for a second consecutive day. On May 12, the stock climbed an impressive 7%, reaching a peak of ₹152 per share. This surge reflects a strong bullish sentiment among traders, despite the broader market experiencing increased volatility, particularly due to recent tensions between India and Pakistan. Over the past two months, Paradeep Phosphates has delivered a staggering 61% return, far surpassing the Nifty Smallcap 100 index, which managed just 10.42%.

Strong Q4 Performance Fuels Stock Surge

In its Q4 FY25 earnings report, Paradeep Phosphates posted a jaw-dropping 644% year-on-year increase in consolidated net profit, amounting to ₹160 crore. This impressive growth was bolstered by strong volume increases in a typically quiet quarter and an advantageous product mix that improved gross margins.

  • Revenue from operations surged 56% year-on-year to ₹3,494 crore.
  • EBITDA skyrocketed by 119% to reach ₹389 crore, with margins expanding by 300 basis points to 10%.

For the entire fiscal year, the company reported a 452% increase in profit after tax, driven by record fertilizer sales of 3.03 million tonnes and total revenue of ₹13,820 crore, marking a 19% growth from the previous year.

Future Growth Projections

Paradeep Phosphates is on track to achieve its ambitious volume growth targets, aiming for a 5-7% annual increase over the next few years. The company has already met its sales volume guidance of 3 million metric tons (MMT) ahead of schedule, thanks to strategic sourcing and a diversified production mix.

  • The company’s total production capacity stands at 3 million MT, including 2.6 million MT of phosphates and 0.4 million MT of urea.
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JM Financial Revises Target Price

In response to these stellar results, JM Financial has upgraded its target price for Paradeep Phosphates to ₹160, a record high for the stock, while maintaining its ‘Buy’ recommendation. The brokerage is optimistic about the company’s ability to sustain robust volume growth, particularly with the anticipated benefits from a favorable monsoon season.

  • They project a 7% CAGR in volume growth from FY25 to FY28.
  • The integration of phosphoric acid and improved energy efficiency measures are expected to enhance EBITDA per kg to ₹5/kg by FY27, up from ₹4.1/kg in FY25.

Two-Year Stock Performance

Remarkably, Paradeep Phosphates has seen its share price triple from ₹50 to ₹152, representing a remarkable 204% increase over the past two years. The stock recently achieved an all-time high of ₹153.50 on April 29, indicating strong market confidence in its future prospects.

As Paradeep Phosphates continues to break records and capture investor interest, it remains a noteworthy contender in the small-cap stock arena. For those looking to explore investment opportunities, this company is certainly one to watch closely.

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