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Oil Posts Seventh Weekly Loss on Easing War Risk, Tariff Chaos

Asian Markets Soar Amid Trade War Tensions: Moderate Gains Despite Trump’s Policies

Asian markets showed a positive trend on Thursday, with many investors optimistic despite ongoing concerns regarding President Donald Trump’s trade policies. Current negotiations between the U.S. administration and Japan are under the spotlight, as they could significantly impact trade relations. Japan’s Nikkei 225 index climbed 0.7% to reach 34,142.86 during morning trading sessions.

Honda’s Strategic Move

In a noteworthy development, Honda Motor Co. announced plans to relocate the production of its five-door Civic hybrid electric vehicles destined for the U.S. from Japan to its Indiana facility. This strategic shift has resulted in a 1.7% increase in Honda’s stock price. The company clarified that this decision was not a direct response to tariff policies but rather a move to meet market demand effectively. Production at Honda’s Yorii plant near Tokyo commenced in February, and to date, 3,000 vehicles have been manufactured for the U.S. market.

U.S.-Japan Trade Talks

President Trump, alongside Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick, engaged in discussions with a Japanese delegation in Washington. Trump expressed optimism through a social media post, stating, “Hopefully something can be worked out which is good for Japan and the USA!” Such sentiments reflect a desire to foster a collaborative trade environment.

Market Performance Across Asia

  • Australia’s S&P/ASX 200: Up 0.3% to 7,781.00
  • South Korea’s Kospi: Increased by 0.5% to 2,459.46
  • Hong Kong’s Hang Seng: Gained 0.5% to 21,165.70
  • Shanghai Composite: Slightly down by 0.2% at 3,270.47

Wall Street Reacts

Meanwhile, U.S. markets faced a downturn on Wednesday, prompted by Nvidia’s warnings about new export restrictions to China, which could significantly impact its financial performance. The S&P 500 fell by 2.2%, dropping as much as 3.3% at one point—marking a turbulent day for Wall Street. The Dow Jones Industrial Average plummeted 699 points (or 1.7%), while the Nasdaq composite experienced a notable 3.1% decline.

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Investor sentiment remains cautious as many prepare for potential recession risks linked to Trump’s tariffs. A recent Bank of America survey revealed that expectations for a recession are at their highest in 20 years.

Future Trade Outlook

The World Trade Organization (WTO) has projected a 0.2% decline in global merchandise trade volume for 2025 if current tariff conditions persist. Should the situation worsen, the WTO anticipates a 1.5% contraction in trade this year.

Key Financial Metrics

  • S&P 500: Dropped 120.93 points to 5,275.70
  • Dow Jones Industrial Average: Fell 699.57 points to 39,669.39
  • Nasdaq composite: Decreased 516.01 points to 16,307.16

In bond markets, Treasury yields eased following statements from the Federal Reserve’s chair. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note fell to 4.28%, down from 4.35% on Tuesday and 4.48% at last week’s close.

Energy and Currency Updates

In energy markets, U.S. crude oil rose 35 cents to $62.82 per barrel, while Brent crude gained 23 cents to $66.08. In currency trading, the U.S. dollar strengthened against the Japanese yen, rising to 142.75 from 141.74 yen, while the euro dropped to $1.1360 from $1.1401.

This ongoing situation reflects a complex interplay of trade dynamics, market reactions, and economic forecasts, emphasizing the need for keen observation as developments unfold.

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