The Indian stock market is taking a breather today, May 1, as it observes Maharashtra Day. Both the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) and the National Stock Exchange (NSE) are closed for trading. On Wednesday, the equity benchmarks, Sensex and Nifty 50, experienced a flat performance for the second consecutive session amid heightened geopolitical uncertainties and pressure on major stocks. However, sustained foreign investment has helped cushion the market’s decline.
Market Performance Overview
On Wednesday, the 30-stock BSE index faced a slight setback, dropping 46.14 points or 0.06%, finishing at 80,242.24. During the day, it fluctuated significantly, peaking at 80,525.61 and dipping to a low of 79,879.15, marking a total swing of 646.46 points. The Nifty 50 also saw minimal movement, decreasing by 1.75 points or 0.01%, to close at 24,334.20.
Insights from the Market Experts
Vinod Nair, the Head of Research at Geojit Investments, highlighted that despite the challenges, the broader market has performed admirably this month. Key factors contributing to this resilience include:
- Reduced tariff risks
- The potential for a trade agreement between the U.S. and India
- Strong inflows from foreign institutional investors (FIIs)
However, escalating tensions between India and Pakistan and disappointing Q4 results have tempered the market’s upward momentum.
Short-Term Outlook
In the near term, negative sentiment may persist, but the long-term forecast remains positive. The financial impact of ongoing conflicts is expected to be limited, creating potential investment opportunities during market consolidations.
Nifty 50 Analysis by Jay Thakkar
According to Jay Thakkar, Vice President & Head of Derivatives and Quant Research at ICICI Securities, the Nifty 50 has experienced a robust rise but is currently consolidating around the 24,350-24,400 range. Key insights include:
- The FIIs have been net buyers for the last 11 trading sessions, bringing in approximately ₹37,350 crores into Indian equities.
- The support levels are at 24,300, 24,000, and 23,800, while resistance points are at 24,500, 24,800, and 25,000.
Trading Strategy Recommendations
For investors looking to navigate the current market landscape, Thakkar suggests:
- Buy on dips near 24,000 or above 24,400
- Target levels of 24,800 for positional trades
Stock Picks for Immediate Gains
Thakkar recommends several stocks to consider for the near term:
- Godrej Properties: Buy in the range of ₹2,180-2,140 with a stop loss at ₹2,080. Targets are set at ₹2,270 and ₹2,350.
- KPIT Technologies: Purchase within ₹1,240-1,260, stop loss at ₹1,180, with upside targets of ₹1,350 and ₹1,400.
- SRF: Acquire in the range of ₹2,990-3,010, stop loss at ₹2,890, targeting ₹3,200 and ₹3,300.
Conclusion
As the market observes Maharashtra Day, it’s crucial for investors to stay informed and consider the evolving dynamics. With a mix of geopolitical factors and market trends, strategic trading and investment opportunities may arise.
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